Long-term Bottom-up Modeling of Renewable Energy Development in Morocco

Volume 7, Issue 5, Page No 129-145, 2022

Author’s Name: Jabrane Slimani^1,a), Abdeslam Kadrani¹, Imad EL Harraki², El hadj Ezzahid³

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¹Research Laboratory in Information Systems, Intelligent Systems and Mathematical Modeling, National Institute of Statistics and Applied Economics, Rabat, Morocco
²Research Laboratory in Information Systems, Intelligent Systems and Mathematical Modeling,National School of Mines of Rabat, Rabat, Morocco
³Faculty of Legal, Economic and Social Sciences of Rabat–Agdal, Mohammed V University of Rabat, Rabat, Morocco

^a)whom correspondence should be addressed. E-mail: jslimani@insea.ac.ma

Adv. Sci. Technol. Eng. Syst. J. 7(5), 129-145 (2022); DOI: 10.25046/aj070515

Keywords: Energy system modelling, Power system, Renewable energies, OSeMOSYS, Optimization model, Morocco

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Abstract

Renewable energy is an essential source of green growth for countries facing a shortage of fossil fuels. They offer a sustainable, inexhaustible, carbon-free solution to the future energy dependency of nations. Morocco, which has no traditional energy resources, depends entirely on the international primary energy market to meet its growing demand. For this reason, Morocco launched the National Energy Strategy in 2009 to reach 42% renewable production by 2020. This strategy has been renewed to 52% by 2050. Thanks to this policy, the country has been able to address most of its energy challenges. This study analyzes the energy mix of Morocco from 2010 to 2050. The methodology adopted is to simulate Morocco’s electricity mix for this period. We assumed we were at the beginning of deploying the country’s energy policy to assess the adopted strategic decisions. The analysis shows that the different technological solutions for electricity production chosen at the beginning of Morocco’s energy transition could be better. Indeed, the decision to develop concentrated solar power as the leading renewable source and coal as a backup option, for example, appears to be contested. However, according to the third scenario of our study, renewables have the potential to become the main source of energy for the Moroccan power grid.

Received: 04 September 2022, Accepted: 04 October 2022, Published Online: 25 October 2022

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Long-term Bottom-up Modeling of Renewable Energy Development in Morocco